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Rincón field lab

Rainfall-to-reef plume model

See how recent and forecast rain across the upstream watershed could become river discharge and modeled suspended sediment at three Rincón reef sites.

SCREENING SCENARIO — UNCALIBRATED
Modeled sediment, not measured turbidity, diver visibility, or a safety forecast.

Inputs

Live watershed scenario

Updating live weather…

Loading current rainfall and weather for the watershed…

The model will retain the editable user-entered scenario if live data cannot be reached.

Current run map

How this run's plume could move

Loading the current rainfall-driven scenario…

H+0MODELED ESTIMATE
Modeled TSS, mg/L0.010.1110+Log scale; below 0.01 not drawn
© OpenStreetMap contributors

Modeled elapsed hour 0.

This is what the model thinks the plume may look like. It uses the current rainfall snapshot plus the river, current speed, and bearing shown above. It is not a satellite observation, measured current, measured turbidity, visibility forecast, or safety determination.

How it works

Established screening methods, joined transparently

  1. Three weather-grid points sample each upstream watershed; their hourly precipitation is averaged.
  2. SCS Curve Number converts cumulative rainfall into excess rainfall.
  3. A triangular unit hydrograph routes that volume into discharge.
  4. A sensitivity rating curve estimates suspended-sediment flux.
  5. Hourly midpoint releases move through a constant-current Gaussian plume.
  6. Reef values report modeled TSS. The optical proxy is not presented as diver visibility.

Rainfall and weather update automatically from Open-Meteo's continuously refreshed blend of national weather models. Past hours are archived forecast-model output, not observations, analysis, reanalysis, radar QPE, or local rain-gauge measurements. The ocean-current controls remain a separate scenario until a reliable live CARICOOS current feed is integrated.

Read model provenance and limitations →

Trip Planning

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